Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.292128 0.340510 0.394581 0.459524 0.535467 0.621539 0.726600
2025-01-12 0.212257 0.274572 0.351918 0.455157 0.589664 0.759407 0.990604
2025-01-19 0.172492 0.239543 0.328945 0.457240 0.637312 0.882095 1.241916
2025-01-26 0.152400 0.224275 0.325893 0.480656 0.711621 1.045482 1.568296
2025-02-02 0.137034 0.212012 0.323521 0.502340 0.783823 1.213083 1.923534
2025-02-09 0.123231 0.199331 0.317724 0.516529 0.844759 1.369920 2.283436
2025-02-16 0.110116 0.185436 0.307498 0.521218 0.889729 1.505720 2.627129
2025-02-23 0.097850 0.170979 0.294017 0.517898 0.919696 1.619037 2.946991
2025-03-02 0.085639 0.154825 0.275325 0.502532 0.925702 1.690398 3.200510
2025-03-09 0.079736 0.148956 0.273601 0.516840 0.986408 1.866349 3.671458
2025-03-16 0.072861 0.140350 0.265727 0.518407 1.022905 2.001173 4.081297
2025-03-23 0.067738 0.134365 0.261889 0.526964 1.073607 2.169021 4.580191
2025-03-30 0.060809 0.124137 0.248953 0.516401 1.085781 2.264346 4.948702
2025-04-06 0.055239 0.115979 0.239173 0.511122 1.108455 2.384880 5.391563
2025-04-13 0.051070 0.110179 0.233432 0.513477 1.147525 2.544987 5.946360
2025-04-20 0.049435 0.109569 0.238461 0.539851 1.243162 2.841914 6.862781
2025-04-27 0.047716 0.108542 0.242423 0.564278 1.337605 3.148854 7.851122
2025-05-04 0.045465 0.106022 0.242739 0.580263 1.414286 3.424609 8.805697
2025-05-11 0.042656 0.101856 0.238790 0.585546 1.465678 3.646349 9.657251
2025-05-18 0.039529 0.096551 0.231543 0.581806 1.494017 3.814724 10.394825
2025-05-25 0.035897 0.089583 0.219504 0.564494 1.485229 3.887320 10.884019
2025-06-01 0.034486 0.087987 0.220432 0.580614 1.566512 4.206451 12.113444
2025-06-08 0.032418 0.084467 0.216122 0.582379 1.609345 4.428370 13.099709